Betting football futures is limited to taking winners. In La Liga’s instance, we are looking at who can win the league.
Together with Bovada offering a jolt on which team will win La Liga we are here to reinforce what the odds tell you: take Atletico Madrid.
*Odds taken 8/12/19. For full list of teams see Bovada
Diego Simeone’s Rojiblancos needed a summer of serious movement, the most notable of which saw Portuguese wonderkid Joao Felix unite on a record deal from Benfica. Atleti also appeared strong in drama — for what that’s worth — scoring a 7-3 triumph over Real Madrid at New Jersey along with a 2-1 win over Juventus in Stockholm.
Historical trends also let’s Simeone’s squad is a very safe bet: Atletico completed ahead of Real Madrid at 2017-18 and 2018-19, also hasn’t finished outside the top three (or under anyone aside from Bar??a and Real) because 2011-12.
There are only two other real challengers for Atletico in Sevilla (+800) and Valencia (+600); the former has not finished ahead of Atletico because 2010-11, while the latter has not since 2011-12.
It remains to be seen whether new boss Julen Lopetegui will steer Sevilla back into being a squad; the Spain youth coach fought in his only prior high-profile club endeavor.
At Valencia, a great summer has observed manager Marcelino add quality bits in goalkeeper Jasper Cillessen (Barcelona) and forwards Maxi Gomez (Celta); last year was a wild ride to the Valencians, who started horribly but caught fire down the stretch to finish fourth, and their summertime developments ought to have them solidly in the top five this year.
It’s interesting to note a lack of chances love for Getafe (+4000), which finished a club-best 5th in La Liga last season but is expected to struggle with valve congestion and regress into a typical mid-table finish.
Given that Atletico added some quality and Simeone’s club regularly punches over the burden of its squad it’s unlikely either will give it a serious run with this bet.
Select: Atletico Madrid (-250)
Let us keep it civil and have fun.