Both teams are coming off tough losses, the Marlins beat the Dodgers 13-7 at Miami while the Braves fell their series finale from the Mets 10-8. The Dodgers have a comfortable 19-game lead on the Diamondbacks in the National League West and the Braves lead the Nationals by 5.5 games in the National League East.
Kenta Maeda (8-8, 4.12 ERA, 1.09 WHIP) vs. Mike Soroka (10-2, 2.32 ERA, 1.08 WHIP)
Kenta Maeda had dropped his last six decisions and he slipped back from two poor trips by throwing seven scoreless innings of all both three-hit ball with six strikeouts and zero walks in a 4-0 win against the Diamondbacks past Saturday. The right-hander is still just 1-2 with a 5.57 ERA along with a 1.24 WHIP in his last six appearances (five starts) and he is 2-5 with a 5.66 ERA along with a 1.38 WHIP at 12 road starts.
Mike Soroka is winless since July 14 but he dominated that the Marlins past Saturday, pitching seven scoreless innings of both three-hit ball six strikeouts against one walk to find a no-decision at a 7-6 win. The 22-year-old is 0-1 with a 2.56 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP in his past five starts and 4-2 with a 4.08 ERA along with a 1.39 WHIP in eight house starts. This is Soroka’s first career start against the Dodgers.
The Underneath is:
Maeda and Soroka possess an On-Base Percentage (OBP) under .275, a Weighted On-Base Average (wOBA) under .278 and opponents are hitting .228 against them. Maeda is 2-0 with an 0.68 ERA and an 0.83 WHIP in two career starts against the Braves (he has not faced them since 2017) and he’s been a much better pitcher at home.
The present Braves roster is merely 4-for-31 (.129) against Maeda along with also the projected Braves lineup has only 3 batters using Isolated Power (ISO) over .185. Soroka, on the other hand, was a far better pitcher on the road but that is a very significant total.